The People's Republic of China: Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: Volume 2016 Issue 271
Publication date: August 2016
ISBN: 9781475524383
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Banks and Banking , Exports and Imports , Economics- Macroeconomics , Money and Monetary Policy , Taxation - General , ISCR , CR , China , IMF staff estimate , GDP , market , SOE reform , reform strategy , coal tax , GDP ratio , C , SOE , Credit , Carbon tax , Foreign assets , Public enterprises , Global

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Summary

This Selected Issues paper reviews China’s progress along various dimensions of rebalancing. External rebalancing has advanced well, while progress on internal rebalancing has been mixed—substantial on the supply side, moderate on the demand side, and limited on credit dependence. Rebalancing on the environment and inclusiveness has lagged. The high national rate of saving is expected to fall owing to demographic change and a stronger social safety net. The consumption ratio is expected to increase with a rising labor income share and less household saving. Supply-side rebalancing from industry to services is expected to advance further, helping reduce the carbon intensity of output and promote income equality.