Tracking Short-Term Dynamics of Economic Activity in Low-Income Countries in the Absence of High-Frequency GDP Data

Working Paper No. 12/119

This paper uses a set of routinely collected high-frequency data in low-income countries (LICs) to construct an aggregate and a comprehensive index of economic activity which could serve (i) as a measure of the direction of economic activity; and (ii) as a useful input in analyzing contemporaneous real sector performance in LICs in the absence of high-frequency, and often outdated, GDP data. It could also serve as a useful tool for policymakers to gauge short-term dynamics of economic activity and shape appropriate and timely policy responses.
Publication date: May 2012
ISBN: 9781475503487
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Economics- Macroeconomics , Economics / General , International - Economics , Short-term Dynamics , Economic Activity , Gdp , Economic Indicators , Economic Models , Gross Domestic Product , Low-income Developing Countries , Econometric Methods: - Single Equation Models , General Aggregative Models

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