Context. The region continues to experience strong growth in 2015, and the immediate outlook is positive. Inflation is projected to remain low, reflecting the exchange rate peg and positive terms of trade developments. However, risks are on the downside. In the short term, security risks remain high. In the medium term, weaker trading partner growth, tighter global financial conditions, sluggish structural reforms, and difficulties delivering on the planned fiscal consolidation could weaken growth prospects.
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