Non-Defaultable Debt and Sovereign Risk

We quantify gains from introducing non-defaultable debt as a limited additional financing option into amodel of equilibrium sovereign risk. We find that, for an initial (defaultable) sovereign debt level equalto 66 percent of trend aggregate income and a sovereign spread of 2.9 percent, introducing the possibilityof issuing non-defaultable debt for up to 10 percent of aggregate income reduces immediately the spreadto 1.4 percent, and implies a welfare gain equivalent to a permanent consumption increase of 0.9 percent.The spread reduction would be only 0.1 (0.2) percentage points higher if the government uses nondefaultabledebt to buy back (finance a "voluntary" debt exchange for) previously issued defaultabledebt. Without restrictions to defaultable debt issuances in the future, the spread reduction achieved by theintroduction of non-defaultable debt is short lived. We also show that allowing governments in default toincrease non-defaultable debt is damaging at the time non-defaultable debt is introduced andinconsequential in the medium term. These findings shed light on different aspects of proposals tointroduce common euro-area sovereign bonds that could be virtually non-defaultable.
Publication date: October 2014
ISBN: 9781498325189
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This title contains information about the following subjects. Click on a subject if you would like to see other titles with the same subjects.

Economics- Macroeconomics , Economics / General , International - Economics , sovereign default , sovereign debt , Eurobonds , red bonds , blue bonds , buyback , voluntary debt exchange

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