Croatia is the newest euro area (EA) member. Following a very
strong recovery in 2021–22, growth moderated to 3.1 percent in 2023, still among the
highest in the EA. Inflation has decelerated considerably since early 2023 but remains above
the EA average, while the labor market remains tight. Growth is expected to stay robust in
2024–25, led by strengthening household real incomes and investment supported by EU
funds. Inflation is expected to gradually approach 2 percent in late 2025. Risks to the
outlook are broadly balanced. Subdued productivity and labor shortages are the main
obstacles to potential growth.