Spain: 2021 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Spain

2021 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Spain
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Volume/Issue: Volume 2022 Issue 045
Publication date: February 2022
ISBN: 9798400201370
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Labor , Inflation , Economics- Macroeconomics , Money and Monetary Policy , Public Finance , International - Economics , vis nonresident , money market rate , IMF staff calculation , liability positions vis , transparency policy , core inflation , EU emissions trading scheme framework , investment agenda , Labor markets , Inflation , COVID-19 , Employment , Fiscal stance , Global

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Summary

The Spanish economy is recovering from the deep recession caused by the COVID pandemic and employment is already above its pre-pandemic level. A highly successful vaccination campaign helped limit the impact of the recent wave of infections on hospitalizations and economic activity. Output is expected to return to its pre-pandemic level by the end of 2022. However, there is significant uncertainty around the recovery path related to the evolution of the pandemic and the duration of global supply bottlenecks. The pace of absorption and the effectiveness of use of Next Generation EU (NGEU) funds will also affect growth in the coming years. In the near term, the key policy challenge is to continue to provide targeted pandemic support while facilitating resource reallocation and a transformation to a greener and more inclusive economy.