The Non-U.S. Bank Demand for U.S. Dollar Assets
The Non-U.S. Bank Demand for U.S. Dollar Assets
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Volume/Issue:
Volume 2020
Issue 101
Publication date: June 2020
ISBN: 9781513547732
$18.00
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Topics covered in this book
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Banks and Banking , Money and Monetary Policy , WP , asset demand , asset share , nominal exchange rate , math display , Exchange Rate Disconnect , Safe Asset Demand , Intermediary Asset Pricing , U , S , dollar , Treasury premium , USD assets , USD asset demand , Exchange rates , Currencies , Exchange rate adjustments , Estimation techniques , Financial statements , Global , U , S , bank
Summary
The USD asset share of non-U.S. banks captures the demand for dollars by these investors. An instrumental variable strategy identifies a causal link from the USD asset share to the USD exchange rate. Cross-sectional asset pricing tests show that the USD asset share is a highly significant pricing factor for carry trade strategies. The USD asset share forecasts the dollar with economically large magnitude, high statistical significance, and large explanatory power, both in sample and out of sample, pointing towards time varying risk premia. It takes 2-5 years for exchange rate risk premia to normalize in response to demand shocks.
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